I am as pessimistic as I have been.
Here is my worst case scenario:
COVID-19 turns out to be as infectious as the common cold and if people develop antibodies to it, the antibodies only last a few months.
People who are asymptomatic turn out to be the biggest spreaders of the disease. Even those who develop symptoms spread it during its incubation period.
Each time you get COVID, it leaves you weaker physically. You not only never recover fully, you are still at risk of getting it again, and again.
COVID-19 mutates to a stronger deadlier germ that targets younger people in its second wave.
States relax social distancing too much, unleashing COVID again to not just physical but psychological detriment.
Other states while holding social restrictions to tight fail to find thoughtful ways to reopen the land in ways that can both protect people and get some semblance of an economy and more normal life running again.
I get it and die.
And so does my wife.
My children are orphaned.
***
Here is my best case scenario:
I already had COVID in late January/early February and survived it. My family has also been exposed and were largely asymptomatic.
Once you get it, you can never get it again.
There are far more asymptomatic people out there than any study suggests.
COVID-19 will mutate to a milder form and will be no worse than the seasonal flu.
States will gradually relax their social distancing and if it remerges, it will only be in minor manageable ways.
Our economy will come back and people will get jobs again, and this will all just be a blip in our memories.
We will use its lessons to better prepare for pandemics in the future.
As the Black Plague gave way to the renaissance, so will COVID give way to innovation and a better life for all.
***
The New York Times had another article about how corona may have been here much earlier than previously reported. This helps my argument that I might have already had it.
Hidden Outbreaks Spread Through U.S. Cities Far Earlier Than Americans Knew, Estimates Say
The CDC Director backed off his second wave comments a bit after the White House likely castigated him.
CDC Director Clarifies Concerns Over Potential Second Wave Of Coronavirus
Dr. Fauci weighs in:
Dr. Anthony Fauci: ‘We Will Have Coronavirus In The Fall’
Here's an article on how long people might be contagious if they have no symptoms:
How Long Can Asymptomatic Coronavirus Carriers Infect Others?
Another article targeted to this 61 year old.
Coronavirus: Anyone over 60 is 'high risk', scientists warn
Stay well all.
